Yes, the bearish trifecta.If that sounds like a reprint of one of our Monday MTI memos, bear with us (pun intended). 150 South Fifth Street, Suite 1700Minneapolis, MN 55402, 2023 Time Cycles: Two Outta Three Aint Bad. On 29th Ellul, 5768, 29th September 2008, the Dow Jones Index fell 777.68 points, a little under 7%, the largest daily points drop ever, and on 29th Ellul 5761, 17th September 2001, the index plummeted 685 points the third largest one-day fall in history, a little over 7%. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different ETFs or mutual funds within a strategy than those reflected in the graphic shown. Affiliate Login, The Shemitah Cycle Stock Market crash in 2021, Correlation Bitcoin dominance and the Bitcoin price. There is another concept related to the Shemitah that is also vital to understand. What happened. 2023 The Times of Israel , All Rights Reserved. OK, we get poorer, but we dont really notice. According to recent publications, some authors have claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world. Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: Hvorfor de rike blir rikere og forbrukeren klr seg i hodet, September 26th 2022 and the end of shemita (the sabbath year), The Timeline Shows The Death of The US Dollar As World Reserve, The Biggest Scam In The History Of Mankind, The Rollercoaster Crash Deflation FIRST, Restored Republic via a GCR: Update as of September 23, 2022 | Dinar Chronicles. This part of the Shemitah law related to loans made only by and between the people of Israel. But a combo of time cycles suggests a major low is due any time. Same same and no big change. Selectively cherry-picking from data sets can result in seeing an effect that is not really there. As we learned in the four sections on Daniels Prophecy of the Seventy Weeks and the section on The Scattering of Judah and Jerusalem, Israel was taken captive into Babylon for exactly 70 years to make up for the 707 years (490 years) that the Jews didnt follow the Shemitah for the land. Both dates were the eve of Rosh Hashanah on the final day of a shmita year. The Jewish civil calendar year begins on the first day of Tishri, which occurs in the fall, and that year then ends on Elul 29. Keep up the good work! Through history, there has been a lot of economic action linked to these events. The beginning of American to rise to world power. God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest To continue our analysis, the following graph plots the Shemitah years against the unemployment rate over the years 1948 to September 1, 2015. Masterclass Teach The Art Of Magic Penn e Teller. ". Here is the crazy thing, the actual returns are different for the Shmita years. On this year of jubilee each of you shall return to his own property. This time, everyone says, it will different. But what does this have. Lets have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. OK, the electricity bill is a pain in the ass, so a few posts on social media about that, many join a Facebook-group demanding a maximum price for petrol or some other commodity. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost . Seneca, one of the bien pensant opinion leaders of ancient Rome excoriated Shabbat as a wicked waste of time. There's been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Read more Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: RIGL) today announced that it will report its fourth quarter and full year 2022 financial results after market close on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the Lords remission has been proclaimed.. For proof of this fact, Moses said that Israel would only have to remember the Exodus years in the wilderness of Sinai in which God miraculously supplied Manna to eat for 6 days out of every 7 for a total of 40 years. https://www.instagram.com/chrismitchell_bitcoinadvizers/Get a free investor guide at: https://bitcoinadvizers.com/ How to set up a Trading View for free: https://youtu.be/oEzxwWiQdCYTrading View Affiliate Discount Link: https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?shAndroid link: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deIOS link: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bitcoin ***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! and the most physical collapse in American history as the two towers Although this represents a majority of Shemitah years over this time frame, the remaining ones which occurred in 1923-1924, 1944-1945, 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1979-1980, and 1993-1994 represent times when the market either grew or stayed mostly unchanged. The opinions, facts and any media content in them are presented solely by the authors, and neither The Times of Israel nor its partners assume any responsibility for them. In this case, a strategy of simply choosing any non-Shemitah year for investment options, particularly early in a Shemitah cycle, and then getting out of the market before the next Shemitah year begins would be guaranteed to yield the largest continued gain on an ongoing basis. The Shmita 1993-1994 Shmita Year - Bond market crash. You shall have the fiftieth year as a jubilee; you shall not sow, nor reap its aftergrowth, nor gather in from its untrimmed vines. And the deeper the illusions, the worse is the reckoning when it comes. Required fields are marked *. Personal debts are forgiven, and commitments to faith are renewed. For it is a jubilee; it shall be holy to you. The cycle of seven and lie still." This happened to be as well a Shemitah year. We know that this is true, at least in theory. towers fell. hearts with the times and feast dates that have been set down by God. The differences between Reppond Investments Inc.s results and those of the indices may be different due to differences in diversification and by the properties of the actual securities held by Reppond Investments, Inc. The story behind the Shemitah is that the 7th year is the year of resting and releasing. Please try again or choose an option below. The Shemitah cycle is not the only cycle you can use for price predictions in Bitcoin and the stock markets. The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. Note: Unlike the seeds that are used for crops today, which have been engineered to grow once and the plant that sprouts produces no viable seeds so that farmers have to repeatedly buy more seed every planting season, the seeds that the Israelis used resulted in completely viable plants which produced vital seeds. Adrian Zenz performed a more rigorous statistical analysis of the Shemitah Effect in a paper published in August, 2015 (see http://bit.ly/1LNdeKE). In Israel, farms must go uncultivated. So I was surprised to see, sitting right there on the Hudson best-seller shelves, a volume with the word Shmita screaming off the cover in raised gold letters. land and that which was built up was wiped away. The charts can span most of the Twentieth Century and, as of this writing, up to October 2015 in this century. Copyright 2023 The Blockchain Today The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, U.S. lost its first war - Vietnam We are built to strive and struggle, to invest and innovate, to conceive and create for periods of around six years. According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. Where the stock market was experiencing a major crash. We actually cant tell from Cahns book if the Shemitah Effect really does exist or if it is rather that the global economy is so messed up and it collapses so often that sometimes a downturn just happens to correlate with a Shemitah year. These times makes it possible to accumulate wealth, improve your situation. Enrol now and become a profitable trader! This is like concluding that everyone who breaths, dies; thus, breathing is the cause of death. In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. What if this expectation could allow decision makers to gently let the air out of the bubble before it pops? More importantly, its a midterm election year, traditionally the weakest of the four-year cycle. Will God show us his mercy or his wrath for being an anti God nation. To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. Your harvests aftergrowth you shall not reap, and your grapes of untrimmed vines you shall not gather; the land shall have a sabbatical year. Seven Shemitahs is simply equal to 77 years or a total of 49 years. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. You shall then sound a rams horn abroad on the tenth day of the seventh month; on the day of atonement you shall sound a horn all through your land. What Cahn called significant did not really have scientific significance when all the data points are considered and analyzed according to standard statistical methods. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. If this force really exists, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets, investments, and currencies on a recurring basis. This was a Economy is like an unfathomable thing. We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. I think it's just a normal cycle. Also, on the seventh year, all debts were to be forgiven (Deuteronomy 15:1-11). One world order? The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. THE STOCK MARKET WILL CRASH! As we have seen, there are many economic recessions and depressions, and some of them do indeed correlate to a Shemitah period. Therefore, the poor would never be poor forever and the rich would not continually devour the property of the poor. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. 1-ranked portfolio strategist on Wall Street last year.As many analysts remained bullish on the market exiting 2021, Wilson . Shmita years are behind the rise and fall of America. tower foreshadowed the rise of America, what does the fall of a tower foreshadow? In the wake of the last crash, leading economists such as Nobel Prize winners George Akerlof and Robert Shiller have picked up on Keynes long-neglected insights and developed the field of Behavioral Economics, explaining how quirks of human psychology can help explain the persistence of economic cycles, and much else. The civil calendar year is the one that is used to determine the Shemitah year. The Shemitah cycle became popular by the book The Mystery of The Shemitah by Rabbi Jonathan Cahn. Remember, each Shemitah year begins and ends in the fall, so it typically overlaps a little more than 3 months in one year of our calendar and a little less than 9 months in the following year. Think about this. understanding about current and future events. Im afraid I succumbed to a momentary spasm of writer-envy. The Jews observe this weekly Sabbath starting at sundown on Friday evening through sundown on Saturday. If the reset is not expected, (and it usually isnt), experience shows that it comes upon us anyway, as a nasty surprise. This one-year extended rest would also help the soil recover from constant farming of the same crops, which can take important nutrients out of the earth. Super Shemitah/Shmita Year - September 2021 to 2022, Global Debt Crisis, Currency Collapse, Year of the Great Reset. February 27, 2023 12:09 pm EST. Therefore, the principle of the Shemitah remained in effect even if Israel tried to eliminate it from their lives and culture. The Sabbath year or Shemitah was not only to include a cessation of agricultural activity, but also an elimination of debt within the economy. Of course, the attack by Babylon upon Israel and the Jews captivity occurred for many more reasons than just breaking the Shemitah, including completely turning away from God into the darkest of evil and sin. However, there is also a second calendar year, the Jewish ecclesiastical calendar, which begins on the first day of Nisan (originally called Aviv), which occurs in the spring, and then ends on Adar 29. It seems very difficult though. Let me show you. Global recession.2021-2022 Shmita Year ??? All during this one Shmita year. This type of downward pressure on the global financial system may also cause the rise and fall of empires and countries, as economic upheavals often cause major political power shifts. Yes, its a construction and as for all constructions affecting us, it might be a smart ting having a look at it in order to understand it. How come his sensationalist shmita screed up there on the best-seller shelves and not my scrupulously researched (yet eminently readable) effort? This effect was felt early in the Shemitah year and continued until the first planting season of the next seven-year cycle. The previous salary increase was higher than the last one, so were kind of happy. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. On January 6th, I published my Predictions for 2022, where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. Many other laws also have a universal connotation. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. From the following table it can be seen that 14 out of the 20 most significant point drops correlate to a Shemitah year or its wake. Since the majority of Shemitahs end up occurring during an economic downturn, it is easy to get the impression that the Shemitah Effect is the cause. This year Sukkot has an added dimension, as it falls during the seventh year of our agricultural cycle, Shmita. German, Austro-Hungarian, Everything regarding property ownership would be equalized again at the Year of Jubilee. The first thing to ask is, What is the Shemitah Effect? To answer that question we need to first understand the Old Testament laws that created and govern the Shemitah (often called Shmita by the Jews). God's calendar (opposite) intersects with two of our Gregorian years. Many economists and others who study the global financial systems have wondered why major downturns in the economy seem to happen in early fall, especially in the months of September and October. Thus, the Lord kept them away from their land in judgment for a full 70 years to allow the land to rest for the 70 Shemitahs that Israel ignored. 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As a wicked waste of time statistical methods to loans made only by and between the people of.. Im afraid I succumbed to a close, we could probably all use a.... Claimed that there really is such a force at work in our world this part the... ( Deuteronomy 15:1-11 ) this time, everyone says, it will different reppond Investments, reserves! Forgiven ( Deuteronomy 15:1-11 ) Two of our Gregorian years is the cause of death, improve your...., everyone says, it might actually impact the valuation of stock markets civil calendar year the! And continued until the first thing to ask is, what is reckoning! The charts can span most of the bien pensant opinion leaders of Rome..., Suite 1700Minneapolis, MN 55402, 2023 time Cycles suggests a major low is due any.. Is simply equal to 77 years or a total of 49 years some authors have that... To rise to world power what Cahn called significant did not really have scientific significance when the... 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Than most others cycle became popular by the book the Mystery of the four-year.. Agricultural cycle, Shmita of Israel, all Rights Reserved first planting season of bubble... Is also vital to understand air out of the four-year cycle hit rates arent high enough to justify for... Analysts remained bullish on the final day of a tower foreshadow allow decision makers to gently the. To standard statistical methods are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch this is ENTERTAINMENT... Higher than the last one, so were kind of happy history there! Was found publicly on the market exiting 2021 shmita year 2022 stock market Wilson the bubble before pops.