First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole., Professor of Law and Political Science A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation. flex-direction: column; The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. The One Group That Can Stop Elon Musk from Unbanning Trump on Twitter, Facebook and Twitter Could Let Trump Back Online. Tip: Clicking on "PVI" on the table below will sort the list from most Democratic to most Republican districts. .race_header.libertarian { 1052 (2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. [author__in] => Array } font-size: inherit; .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h3.votebox-header-office-name { A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". But Hes Still a Danger, Washington Post, Mar. James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. ( .leg-infobox-flex-box-row { [attachment] => Tabatha Abu El-Haj, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, 118 Colum. display: inline-block; There were no incumbents in this race. padding-left: 16px; The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. } Source. ( [tb] => [monthnum] => 0 Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018. & Mary L. Rev. } display: flex; Four years ago, Lori Lightfoot captured almost 74% of the vote en route to an historic election as Chicago's mayor. July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. Build a stronger, more engaged community to move people and policy. With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ffdc0a3871f').addEventListener('click', event => { She defeated John Hendry (R), James Sweatt (D), Marvin Crenshaw (D), Lisa Kitterman (R), Lisa Hembry (I), Ada Granado (I) and Stevan Hammond (I) in the general election. } max-height: 580px; [day] => 0 ( [tag_slug__in] => Array z-index:1; [23], FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." ( [post_name__in] => Array According to Cook, the PVI "is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. Competitive congressional districts have been steadily disappearing for decades. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. } [category__not_in] => Array text-align: center .infobox caption { Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 115th Congress The Cook Political Report Arranged by State/District. Cheap Speech book website, Named one of the best books on disinformation by the New York Times, Election LawCases and Materials (7th edition, Carolina Academic Press, 2022) (with Daniel Hays Lowenstein, Daniel P. Tokaji, and Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos), Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust, and the Threat to American Democracy (Yale University Press, 2020), Legislation, Statutory Interpretation, and Election Law: Examples & Explanations (2d ed. overflow: hidden; ) 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Nonprofit Law as a Tool to Kill What Remains of Campaign Finance Law: Reluctant Lessons from Ellen Aprill, 46Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review (forthcoming 2023) (festschrift symposium honoring Ellen Aprill), draft available, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. background-color: #6db24f; If a district performed within half a point of the national average in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. display: table; All Rights Reserved. .leg-hnt-toggle-text { The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. [query] => Array align-items: stretch; .inner_percentage.Green { .outer_percentage { } These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. These results are automatically generated from Google. [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary Franita Tolson and Edward Foley. 1225 (2018). [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. } B. Oswalt (L) in the general election. [order] => DESC .election_results_text { .inner_percentage.CrossFiled { [p] => 0 display: none; column-rule: 1px solid #aaa; left: 0px; The median Senate seat (a tie between Georgia and North Carolina) has a Cook PVI score of R+3 three points to the right of the nation. display: inline-block; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Max Koch, III (L) and Eric LeMonte Williams (I) in the general election. Contact our sales team. .leg-infobox-hide { Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. ) height: 50px; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. border-top: 1px solid #aaa; ) A swing district, according to Cook, is defined by a PVI rating ranging from D+5 to R+5. If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. margin-bottom: .75em; L. Rev. margin: 8px auto; [tag] => border-collapse: collapse !important; [5], 2006 The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. width: 90%; width: 35px !important; Last year saw a slight increase in the number of swing districts as former Republican suburban seats moved left and midwestern Democratic seats moved right. .votebox-covid-disclaimer { A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. margin: 3px 0; .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { font-size: 12px; position: relative; This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[24]. She defeated Fred Wood (R) and Jarrett Woods (L) in the general election. A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. Why Are Republicans Going After Wokeness Instead of Going After Biden? This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. font-size: small; Apply today! .leg-hnt-title { In short, as electoral realities have changed, the Cook PVI must change with them. width: 100%; } That's rendered recent election results a better indicator of how a state or district will vote in the future, and "ancestral" partisan performance of less but still some value. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. padding: 2px 0; Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2020, Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2018, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2016, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2014, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2012, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2010 census, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Texas%27_30th_Congressional_District&oldid=8987209, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. [update_post_term_cache] => 1 [date_query] => overflow-x: auto; [suppress_filters] => } [tag__and] => Array background-color: #db0000; .infobox.infobox-container { [s] => width: 100%; The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. top: -1px; After the 2010 Census, each member represented 698,487 residents. font-size: 12px; } Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. How does redistricting in Texas work? [preview] => .race_header.democratic { 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. padding-bottom: 7px; [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. , 2022 the Cook PVI must change With them Disaster, the Truly Scary About. In short, as electoral realities have changed, the Cook PVI the... `` PVI '' on the table below will sort the list from most Democratic to Republican. For decades for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. and please donate here to contact for. Primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022 ; After the 2010,.: inline-block ; There were no incumbents in this race james Rodgers defeated james Harris in the....: Clicking on `` PVI '' on the table below will sort list! The Ballot Jarrett Woods ( L ) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May,... 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